MIT Brilliant Idiots?!

December 22, 2008 at 8:07 am | In Persona Behaviour, Teaching Stories | Leave a Comment
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Do you believe everything coming out of MIT?

Here is an interesting article on a Brazilian tribe that does not use numbers according to MIT professor of brain and cognitive sciences Edward Gibson.

Hold on…have a look here… http://numerati.wordpress.com/2008/11/10/chanel-no5-and-knowing-the-future/ 

Western culture can’t distinguish between precision and perspective but the Brazilian tribe does perspective with precision and survives brilliantly in their environment.

For the tribe at MIT have a look at some work by a true master here:

On Divination and Synchronicity: The Psychology of Meaningful Chance. Originally Presented As Lectures at the C.G. Jung Institute, Zurich (Studies in Jungian Psychology) (Paperback)
by Marie-Louise von Franz
http://www.amazon.com/Divination-Synchronicity-Psychology-Meaningful-Originally/dp/0919123023/ref=sr_1_7?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1226257728&sr=1-7

Stories are the core of who we are and numbers are ok, but not necessary.

Cheers,

Nick www.scenario2.com

Analyze this STRATEGY

December 16, 2008 at 1:32 pm | In Marketing, Marketing Performance, Performance Analysis, Scenario Analytics | Leave a Comment
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BETTER TO ASK FORGIVENESS THAN PERMISSION is the mantra of the Analysis challenged and in a commercial context analysis is generally considered an essential success component. 

In the last twenty years I have noticed a shift from the lauded and methodical READY, AIM, FIRE approach to analysis and action to the manic READY, FIRE, AIM sequence where the role of Analysis appears to have shifted from careful consideration before acting to backward facing justification of acts done.  Ignoring the value of Analysis is justified by the generic North American ‘first mover wins’ where many avoid the risk of Analysis slowing action.

STRATEGY is supposed to be better, a carefully considered and analyzed long term view of business opportunity and deployment of assets to create market value to serve commercial and non-commercial communities and enterprises.

Oddly enough STRATEGY suffers from the same fate as Analysis as contrary to the fiction of the ‘NUMERATI‘ or data priests, most enterprises, communities or people are uncomfortable with measuring and measures.  There is an awkwardness, discomfort or simple ignorance of how to connect numbers and stories that typically results in:

  1. ANALYSIS PARALYSIS
  2. ACT FIRST, MEASURE LATER

ANALYSIS PARALYSIS is an affliction, not just a slogan, though it shouldn’t be confused with measurement denial and acting first and measuring later shouldn’t be confused with the ability to measure.

How can numbers help us avoid conditioned behaviour of analysis paralysis or acting first, measuring later?

  1. Understand how to MEASURE the CURRENT STATE of your decision environment.
  2. Clarify and QUANTIFY your OBJECTIVE.
  3. Consider multiple future SCENARIOS or STORY groups in your future environment.
  4. Envision ACTION options that may be AVAILABLE depending on the future that unfolds.
  5. Take multiple PERSPECTIVES when measuring past, current or future PERFORMANCE

As a fully recovered accountant I discovered that stories underly numbers and indeed stories are numbers and numbers are stories where you become comforatable with the nuances of storytelling.  Don’t get dscouraged if you can tell a story because most that believe they can have a little way to go in this sequence:

  1. Hear a Story
  2. Tell a Story
  3. Modify a Story to fit an environment
  4. Create your own Story to craft a Scenario
  5. Live a Story from multiple simultaneous Perspectives

If the idea of telling stories or connecting numbers and stories is new to you then read as many stories as you can and observe how the numbers relate to the story and how the story would have changed without numbers.

Remember numbers are necessary to measure and it is difficult to know where you you came from, where you are or where you are going without numbers. 

Cheers,

Nick www.scenario2.com

Marketing, where the rubber hits the AIR…

December 5, 2008 at 8:03 am | In Marketing, Persona Behaviour, Uncategorized | Leave a Comment
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From ‘Rubber hits the Road’ to ‘Rubbr hits the Air’…what happened to the reputation of Marketers?

Marketers are good with stories, except when asked to justify results or explain variances to the plan, and when asked to connect corporate strategy to markets and products…well it gets even worse.

Work Smart Not Hard — A Funny Story

December 5, 2008 at 7:53 am | In Accountant, Persona Behaviour, Teaching Stories, Uncategorized | Leave a Comment
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At a time when the great land in which they lived was impoverished an accountant and a storyteller both happened to arrive at a crossroads looking for gainful employment to earn enough to eat dinner and find a place to sleep.  The accountant verbally abused the storyteller saying that he, because of his stature and superior education, should rightfully be able to seek employment at the crossroads without passersby being put off by a lowly storyteller.

The storyteller thought for a moment and then agreed to defer to the accountant if he would answer two questions.  The accountant who considered himself superior in all matters agreed.  The storyteller first asked what the accountant would do to earn enough from the passersby to buy dinner and lodging for the evening.  “Why that is simple”,  said the accountant,  “I will offer my advice to complex financial problems.  For that advice they would have to pay greatly and to ensure that I don’t demean my profession I shall offer to any who employ me twice the work for regular wages.  Surely even an idiot would understand the value that I offer to the wise who avail themselves of my vast knowledge and experience.” 

“Will you allow me to sing a song once you have finished offering your advice?” asked the storyteller.   Hearing this question the accountant knew that the storyteller was not a threat, and was probably and idiot as he knew that the storyteller had a terrible voice.  “Of course!” said the accountant, and they both waited patiently for their first client. 

In a little while a rich man stopped at the crossroads and the Accountant approached him full of self-praise and offered his services for the very reasonable fee.  After giving the rich man some very good advice to very complex matters the accountant was about to ask for his fee when the Storyteller stood up.  “What does he want?” asked the rich man.  “He wants to sing for you” replied the accountant, and sing he did.  The storyteller’s voice was so loud, and terrible that they both winced.  Visibly angered the rich man shouted, “Where did you learn to sing, you are terrible!”  “Why the accountant of course,” said the storyteller, “I just followed his advice” he said smiling broadly.

Upon hearing this the rich man gave a tip to the Storyteller who saved him from the humiliation of the accountant’s advice and ran away from both of them as fast as his feet could carry him.  Fortunately the tip was enough for two meals and two rooms at the Inn, and of course the storyteller shared his bounty with the accountant as he was the source of both of their fortune.

The moral of this story, or rather one moral, is that numbers can only go so far and when you really have to get a job done find a good story as stories trump numbers more often than not.  The simple way this moral is often expressed is –Work Smart Not Hard, but then again it may have been an accountant who summarized it to four words leaving out the kernal of value in the story.

Cheers,

Nick www.scenario2.com

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